7.09.2012

Home Run Derby Prediction

The 2012 State Farm Home Run Derby is tonight. Since it is tonight, I'd like to give a quick preview and prediction.

The Participants
Prince Fielder: Detroit Tigers
Fielder is definitely the favorite as he won in 2009. He is also the biggest name in the field. Fielder will look to be the 2nd repeat winner.
Robinson Cano: New York Yankees
Cano is the reigning champ. He will also look to be the repeat winner.
Jose Bautista: Toronto Blue Jays
Came out of nowhere to become an overnight success a few years back. Now one of the league's top sluggers.
Matt Kemp: Los Angeles Dodgers
Kemp is returning from injury. Before his injury, Kemp was playing like the best player in all of baseball. Will he be 100% tonight? Will it matter?
Mark Trumbo: Los Angeles Angels
A new participant and one of the best stories of 2012. Trumbo has 22 homers at the break.
Carlos Beltran: St. Louis Cardinals
Beltran is one of baseball's biggest names. However, has never participated in the derby.

Carlos Gonzalez: Colorado Rockies
CarGo is also new to the derby.
Andrew McCutchen: Pittsburgh Pirates
McCutchen is the most intriguing derby entrant in my opinion. He was a late addition and we are lucky for it.
Opinion of the Field
NO Papi!
I like the field a lot. I would have liked to see hometown guy Billy Butler and my boy Adam Jones, but it is a solid field.

What Happens?
Andrew McCutchen is very intriguing because he is so small, but I don't see him getting out of the 1st round. The real question is how Kemp does coming off the injury.
I have Fielder, Cano, Kemp, and Trumbo getting out of round 1.
After that I have Kemp and Trumbo in the finals.
Trumbo wins.
Griffey remains the only multiple year winner.

-Noland

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